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Red47
271429.6
367626.4
61717.5
Blue42
712123.4
99934.8
99913.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8023040601001201404742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#15
29.61.2
27.326.1
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End1.4
red by 6.2
23.40.3
22.522.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
26.41.2
28.527.3
Auto12.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
red by 21.6
9993
#25
4.80.4
4.65.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.4
Third
6171
#12
7.51.2
9.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.8
red by 3.8
9991
#27
3.70.4
2.02.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed