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Red14
94929.2
61717.5
419214.1
Blue66
541123.3
271429.6
873211.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356702060801001201466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#20
14.11.6
16.014.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 15.5
2714
#15
29.60.6
26.126.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End1.4
Second
9492
#26
9.21.6
10.99.3
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 14.1
5411
#11
23.30.6
22.823.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Third
6171
#12
7.51.6
8.67.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 4.3
8732
#17
11.70.6
8.28.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed