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Red54
27894.9
910520.8
4579.0
Blue51
367626.4
557222.3
99934.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662020801001205451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#19
20.80.3
20.921.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 5.5
26.40.6
27.326.7
Auto12.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Second
457
#14
9.00.3
9.09.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 13.3
5572
#18
22.30.6
23.222.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
2789
#24
4.90.3
4.64.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.5
red by 0.1
9993
#25
4.80.9
5.14.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed