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Red35
419214.1
557222.3
636919.6
Blue45
61717.5
543115.9
887414.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8045020601001201401603545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#18
22.32.2
25.823.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 6.4
15.90.5
19.018.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
19.62.2
21.519.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.7
red by 5.2
8874
#16
14.40.5
16.716.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
4192
#20
14.12.2
21.018.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End1.5
red by 6.6
6171
#12
7.50.5
9.38.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed