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Red41
750311.4
541123.3
912824.3
Blue52
52127.8
367626.4
14836.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651000501504152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.6
25.523.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.2
blue by 11.8
148
#10
36.02.8
41.438.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Second
5411
#11
23.31.6
24.122.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.9
End1.0
blue by 3.1
26.42.8
32.730.0
Auto12.4
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Third
7503
#29
11.41.6
13.311.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
red by 3.6
5212
#22
7.82.8
12.19.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed