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Red11
873211.7
99913.7
94929.2
Blue77
557222.3
887414.4
712123.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32730204060801001201177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8732
#17
11.71.7
11.910.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
blue by 11.7
23.40.9
21.222.1
Auto8.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
9492
#26
9.21.7
15.714.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 13.1
5572
#18
22.30.9
23.624.5
Auto11.1
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
9991
#27
3.72.8
6.53.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.6
End0.4
blue by 10.7
8874
#16
14.40.9
16.317.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed