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Red81
99934.8
14836.0
914031.9
Blue66
999815.0
271429.6
873211.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815401001502008166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#10
36.00.0
35.935.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 6.4
2714
#15
29.60.2
29.429.6
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End1.4
Second
31.90.0
31.731.7
Auto11.8
Teleop18.9
End1.2
red by 16.9
15.00.4
14.615.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Third
9993
#25
4.80.0
4.54.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.4
blue by 6.9
8732
#17
11.70.2
11.511.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6