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Red80
4579.0
271822.6
557222.3
Blue25
887414.4
99941.5
543115.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6439020801001208025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
22.923.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End1.0
red by 6.7
15.90.3
15.615.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Second
5572
#18
22.30.1
22.622.7
Auto11.1
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 8.0
8874
#16
14.40.3
14.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Third
457
#14
9.00.1
9.39.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 7.5
9994
#13
1.50.5
1.00.5
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.5