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Red25
97862.2
676812.6
541710.9
Blue34
617110.8
87328.7
174514.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273201020405060702534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.60.2
7.97.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
blue by 1.4
1745
#11
14.00.1
11.711.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Second
5417
#28
10.90.2
9.99.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 0.1
6171
#16
10.80.2
10.710.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
9786
#27
2.20.2
7.06.8
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 6.5
8732
#13
8.70.2
6.26.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed