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Red46
464116.5
70916.7
676812.6
Blue17
711910.0
75036.7
543113.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132152025354045504617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.3
13.614.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
5431
#12
13.41.2
12.711.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Second
12.61.3
9.811.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 2.6
7119
#17
10.01.2
11.19.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Third
7091
#14
6.71.3
5.97.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Level
7503
#23
6.71.2
4.43.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed