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Red24
912827.7
419211.5
97862.2
Blue55
129623.0
174514.0
712114.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454402060802455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.7
26.424.7
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 4.7
23.01.7
16.318.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.1
Second
4192
#19
11.51.7
11.39.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
blue by 2.9
7121
#15
14.41.6
10.412.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Third
9786
#27
2.21.7
2.71.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 11.7
1745
#11
14.01.0
13.014.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed