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Red45
419211.5
464116.5
69018.6
Blue22
541710.9
543113.4
617110.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060801004522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.1
13.613.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
5431
#12
13.40.8
10.910.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Second
4192
#19
11.50.1
10.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
red by 0.6
5417
#28
10.90.8
9.78.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Third
6901
#20
8.60.1
9.49.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.4
blue by 2.2
6171
#16
10.80.8
10.910.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed