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Red66
857312.2
975223.1
557217.4
Blue31
97862.2
373515.6
75036.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6316040801006631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.5
21.420.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 7.5
3735
#18
15.60.5
15.115.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
17.40.5
17.917.5
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
red by 10.8
7503
#23
6.70.5
4.65.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Third
12.20.5
12.311.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.0
red by 10.0
9786
#27
2.20.5
0.40.9
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed