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Red29
65263.5
69018.6
75217.2
Blue61
676812.6
90347.2
174514.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223701030506070802961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6901
#20
8.60.2
9.59.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.4
blue by 5.4
1745
#11
14.00.3
12.712.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Second
7521
#21
7.20.2
7.47.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End0.3
blue by 5.4
12.60.3
12.112.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
6526
#25
3.50.2
4.74.5
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 3.7
9034
#26
7.20.3
7.27.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsEarned