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Red54
75036.7
912827.7
95334.0
Blue69
541710.9
70916.7
284819.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060705469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
27.026.8
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 8.1
2848
#10
19.60.4
19.319.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
7503
#23
6.70.2
5.85.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 4.2
5417
#28
10.90.5
9.39.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Third
9533
#29
4.00.2
3.83.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 2.7
7091
#14
6.70.5
6.26.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed