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Red43
70916.7
32829.3
912827.7
Blue3
90347.2
65263.5
97862.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3528010204050607080433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.4
18.219.6
Auto11.5
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 20.5
9034
#26
7.22.5
6.84.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Second
3282
#22
9.31.4
7.08.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End0.6
red by 5.8
6526
#25
3.52.5
8.56.0
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Third
7091
#14
6.71.4
5.26.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.5
End0.4
red by 4.5
9786
#27
2.22.5
10.58.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed