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Red41
75036.7
464116.5
174514.0
Blue42
676812.6
712114.4
711910.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050604142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 2.1
7121
#15
14.40.0
14.514.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Second
1745
#11
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.0
End0.1
red by 1.4
12.60.0
12.712.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
7503
#23
6.70.0
6.76.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End1.7
blue by 3.3
7119
#17
10.00.0
10.110.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9