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Red41
69018.6
284819.6
557217.4
Blue49
373515.6
857312.2
95334.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54310204060801004149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
19.60.2
19.719.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
red by 4.0
3735
#18
15.60.3
15.215.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
Second
17.40.2
17.617.4
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
red by 5.2
12.20.3
11.912.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Third
6901
#20
8.60.2
8.88.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.4
red by 4.6
9533
#29
4.00.3
3.74.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1