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Red66
87328.7
419211.5
541710.9
Blue51
557217.4
284819.6
617110.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275602040801006651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#19
11.50.9
10.511.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End0.7
blue by 8.0
2848
#10
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Second
5417
#28
10.90.8
10.010.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 6.5
17.40.1
17.417.4
Auto10.5
Teleop6.4
End0.6
Third
8732
#13
8.70.8
7.88.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 2.1
6171
#16
10.80.1
10.810.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End0.8