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Red35
857312.2
373515.6
95334.0
Blue65
676812.6
712114.4
711910.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344102060803565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#18
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2
red by 1.2
7121
#15
14.40.3
14.214.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Second
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.1
End1.0
blue by 0.4
12.60.3
12.412.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9533
#29
4.00.0
4.04.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 6.0
7119
#17
10.00.3
9.810.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9