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Red85
543119.0
384744.4
300546.6
Blue60
62424.3
542719.9
680045.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12898501502008560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.6
47.246.6
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End2.3
red by 0.7
45.90.8
46.645.9
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Second
44.40.6
45.144.4
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
red by 20.2
624
#34
24.30.8
25.024.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Third
5431
#18
19.00.6
19.619.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 0.9
5427
#15
19.90.8
20.719.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4