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Red67
62424.3
41817.3
636921.5
Blue97
947824.5
45617.9
384744.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911080501502002506797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#34
24.31.6
35.333.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
blue by 20.2
44.40.2
46.746.4
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
Second
6369
#13
21.51.6
26.524.9
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
blue by 3.0
24.50.2
20.720.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Third
418
#32
17.31.6
22.420.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 0.6
456
#27
17.90.2
28.328.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed