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Red76
384744.4
752226.0
74928.3
Blue50
635716.0
463917.5
912827.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87772040601001207650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
46.446.3
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
red by 17.2
9128
#21
27.31.8
36.534.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
7522
#14
26.00.1
21.721.6
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End-0.3
red by 8.4
4639
#23
17.51.8
18.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Third
7492
#38
8.30.1
9.39.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 7.8
6357
#26
16.01.8
15.613.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed