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Red40
99859.5
589215.3
752226.0
Blue69
636921.5
541710.9
880821.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466301001502002503003504004069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#14
26.00.7
21.620.9
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End-0.3
red by 4.2
21.80.6
23.424.0
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Second
5892
#36
15.30.7
20.419.7
Auto8.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 6.2
6369
#13
21.50.6
22.823.4
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
Third
9985
#30
9.51.2
3.52.3
Auto6.8
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 1.4
5417
#20
10.90.6
8.99.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed