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Red67
857617.0
999817.3
463917.5
Blue77
635716.0
589215.3
542719.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57562030405070806777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#23
17.50.9
17.017.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
blue by 2.4
5427
#15
19.90.5
21.522.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Second
9998
#16
17.31.5
8.810.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.3
6357
#26
16.00.5
13.614.1
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Third
8576
#41
17.00.9
22.823.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.4
red by 1.7
5892
#36
15.30.5
16.917.4
Auto8.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed