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Red52
25877.6
880821.8
808820.1
Blue56
463917.5
947824.5
32419.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526602040801001201405256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
22.522.4
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 2.7
24.50.1
23.123.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Second
8088
#29
20.10.1
20.220.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End1.5
red by 0.4
324
#33
19.70.1
16.916.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End0.5
Third
2587
#37
7.60.1
5.95.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 10.0
4639
#23
17.50.1
17.917.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed