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Red90
880821.8
912827.3
541421.0
Blue77
300546.6
41817.3
635716.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799702040601201401609077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#21
27.30.2
28.227.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
blue by 19.3
46.61.2
51.250.0
Auto17.1
Teleop27.2
End2.3
Second
21.80.2
23.122.9
Auto11.2
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 4.5
418
#32
17.31.2
18.817.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Third
5414
#17
21.00.2
22.121.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 5.0
6357
#26
16.01.2
15.614.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed