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Red36
542719.9
837018.2
975226.4
Blue81
636921.5
752226.0
941827.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707140506080901003681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9752
#31
26.42.5
27.024.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.2
End0.9
blue by 1.3
9418
#22
27.70.9
24.725.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
5427
#15
19.92.5
20.818.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
blue by 6.1
7522
#14
26.00.9
18.519.4
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End-0.3
Third
8370
#12
18.22.5
16.413.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End0.9
blue by 3.3
6369
#13
21.50.9
19.620.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed