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Red84
944811.8
384744.4
433621.0
Blue131
147738.2
25877.6
32324.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896405010015084131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
48.348.5
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End3.9
red by 6.3
1477
#10
38.21.5
35.036.5
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Second
4336
#24
21.00.1
17.117.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 3.6
323
#5
24.61.5
19.220.8
Auto5.6
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Third
9448
#19
11.80.1
11.511.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End-0.0
red by 4.2
2587
#37
7.61.5
5.97.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned