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Red90
808820.1
947824.5
851523.6
Blue64
999817.3
941827.7
582915.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68600501001502009064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.5
22.724.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3
blue by 3.2
9418
#22
27.70.5
25.926.4
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Second
23.61.5
19.220.7
Auto11.4
Teleop11.8
End0.5
red by 6.3
9998
#16
17.30.7
15.115.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
8088
#29
20.11.5
18.620.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End1.5
red by 4.8
5829
#28
15.20.5
15.115.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed