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Red147
62424.3
542719.9
680045.9
Blue62
947824.5
288125.8
912827.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10286406012014016014762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.3
46.047.3
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 18.6
9128
#21
27.30.4
27.627.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.9
Second
624
#34
24.31.3
24.425.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End0.9
blue by 1.5
2881
#11
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
5427
#15
19.91.3
20.121.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4
blue by 4.6
24.50.4
24.924.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End2.3