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Red31
74929.9
258227.2
463912.2
Blue48
582915.4
271428.5
45871.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625302040801001203148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#18
27.21.5
27.826.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.9
End3.1
blue by 1.3
28.50.1
28.028.0
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Second
4639
#28
12.21.5
16.014.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 3.3
5829
#14
15.40.1
15.315.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Third
7492
#30
9.91.5
10.28.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End-0.1
red by 8.3
4587
#40
1.60.1
5.55.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed