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Red84
837018.5
62434.1
373517.0
Blue36
42953.6
664723.1
35268.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713802060801001201408436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
34.11.6
25.927.5
Auto10.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 11.0
6647
#37
23.10.2
25.525.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Second
8370
#17
18.51.6
15.016.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
red by 9.8
3526
#33
8.70.2
12.312.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Third
3735
#31
17.01.6
18.920.5
Auto7.7
Teleop8.4
End0.9
red by 13.4
4295
#38
3.60.2
0.80.6
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed