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Red70
589215.2
288128.8
769110.8
Blue35
664723.1
582915.4
91371.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5845020801007035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#10
28.81.0
24.925.9
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 5.7
6647
#37
23.10.5
25.324.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Second
5892
#29
15.21.0
12.913.9
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5829
#14
15.40.5
15.314.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Third
7691
#32
10.81.0
12.213.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
red by 9.5
9137
#39
1.30.5
1.40.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed