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Red7
87696.0
463912.2
91819.5
Blue61
23124.3
837018.5
542722.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347502060100120140160761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#28
12.21.8
14.612.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 12.2
231
#11
24.30.8
25.424.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
Second
9181
#34
9.51.8
11.89.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 12.7
5427
#22
22.10.8
20.519.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Third
8769
#36
6.01.8
8.16.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.4
blue by 12.6
8370
#17
18.50.8
16.615.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed