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Red44
541421.7
999814.4
817716.7
Blue72
914032.9
589215.2
271428.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4382020601001201401604472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#26
21.70.2
18.918.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 11.2
32.90.8
27.526.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
Second
8177
#23
16.70.2
18.318.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
blue by 11.8
28.50.8
28.227.3
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Third
9998
#21
14.40.3
9.59.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 0.9
5892
#29
15.20.8
13.913.1
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned