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Red78
817716.7
288128.8
147731.9
Blue50
384735.2
91819.5
769110.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88670204060801001201407850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#16
31.90.1
31.531.6
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
blue by 3.3
3847
#12
35.20.8
39.338.5
Auto13.5
Teleop17.8
End4.0
Second
2881
#10
28.80.1
26.726.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 18.0
7691
#32
10.80.8
13.212.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
Third
8177
#23
16.70.1
18.218.3
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 7.3
9181
#34
9.50.8
9.99.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned