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Red51
589215.2
32420.1
664723.1
Blue56
12558.1
271428.5
941825.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63673040507080905156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#37
23.10.7
24.924.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 5.4
28.50.3
27.327.1
Auto12.2
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Second
324
#27
20.10.7
18.417.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 5.0
9418
#20
25.10.3
27.827.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Third
5892
#29
15.20.7
13.112.4
Auto10.7
Teleop2.4
End2.2
red by 7.1
1255
#13
8.10.3
4.84.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed