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Red49
147731.9
541421.7
45871.6
Blue46
32420.1
941825.1
91371.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775302040601001201401604946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#16
31.91.6
38.236.5
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 6.8
9418
#20
25.10.3
27.727.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
5414
#26
21.71.6
21.019.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 1.6
324
#27
20.10.3
19.719.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Third
4587
#40
1.61.6
7.35.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
red by 0.3
9137
#39
1.30.3
2.82.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed