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Red22
851519.6
769110.8
914032.9
Blue51
463912.2
947827.6
258710.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001201402251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.9
28.025.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End1.0
red by 5.3
27.60.1
23.823.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
8515
#19
19.62.9
23.520.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 7.4
4639
#28
12.20.1
15.816.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
7691
#32
10.82.9
14.311.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.9
blue by 0.1
2587
#24
10.90.1
9.39.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed