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Red54
87505.8
421912.2
680030.2
Blue35
356119.2
43283.5
761615.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801005435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.7
27.026.3
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
red by 11.0
3561
#11
19.20.2
17.517.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Second
4219
#19
12.21.2
16.114.9
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 3.0
7616
#18
15.20.2
13.513.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
8750
#32
5.81.2
7.96.7
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 2.3
4328
#39
3.50.2
1.61.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed