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Red11
811411.5
96586.2
76214.8
Blue67
288123.7
406324.1
90516.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141060801167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#28
11.51.1
5.74.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 12.6
24.13.0
17.820.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.1
End1.4
Second
9658
#26
6.21.8
9.47.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 17.6
23.71.8
14.216.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Third
7621
#40
4.81.8
6.74.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
blue by 1.4
9051
#14
6.21.8
3.14.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed