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Red26
95776.2
26578.9
913619.3
Blue21
881910.7
761615.2
87505.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832010205060702621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#10
19.30.9
14.914.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 4.1
7616
#18
15.20.6
13.312.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
2657
#37
8.90.9
10.39.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 1.8
8819
#25
10.70.9
9.58.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End0.4
Third
9577
#29
6.20.5
8.68.1
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
red by 0.5
8750
#32
5.80.9
6.75.7
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed