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Red42
637724.6
71385.0
557222.9
Blue69
62428.2
367923.3
857619.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416902060801001204269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#21
24.60.0
19.519.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End0.7
blue by 3.6
624
#3
28.20.7
23.624.3
Auto10.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
Second
22.90.0
19.119.0
Auto12.2
Teleop10.4
End0.3
blue by 0.4
23.30.7
19.920.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
7138
#38
5.00.0
2.12.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
blue by 14.5
19.50.7
15.416.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned