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Red54
96586.2
95776.2
147733.7
Blue17
582911.3
91816.9
421912.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50320204060801005417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.4
29.029.4
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
red by 21.5
4219
#19
12.21.6
13.311.7
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Second
9577
#29
6.20.4
8.18.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 5.1
5829
#36
11.30.9
8.98.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Third
9658
#26
6.20.7
6.16.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 0.7
9181
#22
6.91.6
9.07.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed