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Red35
70889.5
32419.2
96586.2
Blue66
87505.8
147733.7
857314.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355702040801003566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#8
19.20.5
18.918.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 14.5
33.70.8
29.430.2
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
7088
#30
9.50.5
8.58.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 5.4
8573
#12
14.90.8
14.215.1
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
9658
#26
6.20.5
6.76.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
red by 0.4
8750
#32
5.81.4
5.16.5
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed