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Red54
61558.5
680030.2
811411.5
Blue31
76214.8
542718.5
93117.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49270204060805431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
27.427.9
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
red by 11.7
5427
#15
18.50.4
14.314.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
8114
#28
11.50.5
6.57.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 3.9
9311
#27
7.60.3
7.17.3
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
Third
6155
#20
8.50.5
7.98.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 3.7
7621
#40
4.80.4
5.96.3
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed