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Red42
913619.3
29698.4
637724.6
Blue80
406324.1
147733.7
557222.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5066204060801001204280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#21
24.61.1
20.419.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End0.7
blue by 9.0
33.70.8
25.226.0
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
9136
#10
19.31.9
16.814.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.8
End2.1
blue by 4.8
24.11.4
15.116.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.1
End1.4
Third
2969
#33
8.41.1
10.08.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 14.5
22.90.8
17.418.2
Auto12.2
Teleop10.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed