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Red32
95776.2
406324.1
857314.9
Blue70
680030.2
86108.0
857619.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515602040801003270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.12.1
23.521.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.1
End1.4
blue by 6.1
30.21.3
27.929.2
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
Second
8573
#12
14.91.3
15.814.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 4.6
19.51.3
16.117.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Third
9577
#29
6.21.3
7.76.4
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 1.7
8610
#13
8.01.3
6.27.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed