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Red33
93117.6
421912.2
761615.2
Blue35
542718.5
510314.0
29698.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37422060803335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7616
#18
15.20.4
13.413.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 3.3
5427
#15
18.50.2
17.817.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Second
4219
#19
12.20.6
13.513.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 1.8
5103
#24
14.00.2
11.411.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
9311
#27
7.60.4
7.46.9
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 0.8
2969
#33
8.40.2
8.38.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed